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HomeNewsGrokGrok Flops with U.S. Government, Crushing SpaceX's AI Growth Narrative

Grok Flops with U.S. Government, Crushing SpaceX's AI Growth Narrative

5/25/2026
Grok

According to an exclusive report by Reuters, Grok—the chatbot developed by SpaceX-owned AI startup xAI—has suffered a major defeat in its bid to win the U.S. government, the world's largest customer. This failure directly weakens the "AI growth story" that SpaceX has been aggressively promoting ahead of what is expected to be the largest IPO in history. SpaceX had promised investors that xAI would help it carve out a share of the multi-trillion-dollar AI services market, but reality has dealt that ambition a harsh blow.

Through interviews with 7 federal employees and 3 contract experts, along with an analysis of government AI inventory files, Reuters found that Grok is almost completely absent from federal agencies. This stands in stark contrast to competitors like ChatGPT, which are already widely deployed. The data also reveals a sharp market slowdown: Grok's app downloads dropped from over 20 million in January to roughly 8.3 million in April—a decline of nearly 60%. More critically, the paid subscription conversion rate languishes at just 0.17%, while ChatGPT's rate exceeds 6%.

These setbacks paint a bleak picture for xAI's future. Notably, despite Grok's poor performance, SpaceX's own AI computing needs have forced it to lease AI infrastructure from xAI rivals Anthropic and Oracle—a situation that further underscores the awkwardness of its internal AI strategy.

Analysis: Grok's zero presence in the government market is not just a commercial failure—it risks shaking investor confidence in SpaceX's core "AI-powered" narrative. In the fiercely competitive AI race, if xAI cannot achieve breakthroughs in product quality or differentiated services, its risk of being sidelined will continue to grow, dragging down parent company SpaceX's overall valuation.

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